I believe The Source who I call God loves us infinitely, unimaginably. To complete the analysis: (102,640,000) (1045,000) (40,000,000) = 4 x 102,685,007 102,685,000. 3.97 avg rating 549 ratings published 2010 5 editions. Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 102,685,000. Visions in Lent: Family Life As a Seen in a Rock Tumbler. Popes point: that we are not accidents, that God chose to create you and [me]. No need for caution about drawing any conclusion other that the one he quite explicitly drew. You are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. When expanded it provides a list of search options that will switch the search inputs to match the current selection. Those who say Charles Darwins concept of evolution is hogwash gleefully seize on Borels Law to support their arguments. Then he looked at the chances of them talking, of meeting again, of forming a long-term relationship, of having kids together, and of the right egg and the right sperm combining to make you. A lovely day to you. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 341 million km (131.6 million square miles). He was a funny guy. Ty Webb, Caddyshack, which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. Still, the racial wealth gap continues: Only 11 of them are black. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. On the Probability of Your Being Born.. The chances of your specific sperm meeting your specific egg? Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or about 1 in 700 trillion. Now things start getting interesting. Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 -- one in two. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. Here it should be realize it is a quest work. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in two. dr ali binazir odds of being born jeffrey dahmer museum milwaukee When you do the math, which I didnt but Dr. Binazir did: That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion.. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. The odds of red or black are 50:50 with each spin of the wheel. The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. 2019 Ali Binazir, M.D., M.Phil, All Rights Reserved. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. This book will rapidly bring you up to speed on epidemiology and pandemic management. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. Then, I hope and believe, that He has written my name on the palm of His hand, so whenever He looks at His hand, He thinks of me. A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull.. One of the talks was by Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author and life coach with a syndicated radio show. The Probability of You Existing at All Is Unbelievably Low Dr. Ali Binazir, Happiness Engineer | Modern Science and Ancient Wisdom So, thats 28,800 events a day, adding up to a million in 35 days. On one try. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age, going back about 150,000 generations to the origin of man. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. June 5. One of my brothers made his own calculation regarding one of Binazirs assumptions and came up with a figure that would make the probability of existence even smaller: My numbers are more simplistic, but assuming 100,000 eggs/woman & 12 trillion sperm/man creates 1.2 x 10^18 combinations for every man/woman pairing (i.e., significantly more combinations than the 400 trillion or 4 x 10^14 mentioned in the article). You are also agreeing to our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. Not quite ready yet To become their Destiny, it pushed them close, drove them apart, it barred their path,stifling a laugh,and then leaped aside. Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. And whats even more profound is that 10^2,685,00 is not even remotely comparable with eternity. This is also true of their parents, and so on till the beginning of time. The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. These links dont impose any extra cost on you, and they help support the free content I provide here. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. That should always be a great sense of wonder and a real source of gratitude. So now we must account for those 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000 power: That's a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes the size of my book. First, lets talk about the probability of your parents meeting. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: 1 in 400 quadrillion. Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing. Because there you are futzing about on the internet reading incredibly interesting articles like this one. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are., Buddhists have talked of the preciousness of this incarnation. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: one in 2000. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. The Art of Female Orgasm: Tue 21 June teleseminar with Nicole Daedone, Dating App-ocalypse: 10 Reasons to Delete Your Dating Apps Right Now, How can I best serve you? Lets not get carried away here; well just deal with the human lineage. I met a couple of interesting people at a casual meet-up and the topic of the day was a good life. He concluded that the chances of a turtle sticking its head out in the middle of the life preserver was about one in 700 trillion. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. *wink wink* Well, hello thereBom chicka wow wowits: The chance of every one of your ancestors outrunning dinosaurs, disease, war and pestilence to live to reproductive age and reproduce successfully is one in 10. They agree to within a factor of two! Sean said that we have already won the cosmic lottery simply by being born because the odds of that happening alone is one in a gazillion times. Are they gross exaggerations? 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. But its not even remotely comparable with 10^2,685,000. Mirabile visu (Wondrous to behold)! dr ali binazir odds of being born - thlf.us He attended the Ted Talk and wrote about it afterward, doing his own calculations on how likely your existence is. And lets say the fly decides to bring the ENTIRE MOON back to the Earth, one grain of sand at a time. As Borel pointed out such an event was so improbable as to be impossible. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? The learned Frenchman put a number on it10 to the power of 50, written as 1050in order to impress upon the common herd that its members are not mathematicians. Thats 150,000 generations. In 1943, the distinguished French mathematician mile Borel developed a law about probabilities that stated events with a sufficiently small probability never occur (Institute of Mathematical Statistics). Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. This is also true of your grandparents parents, and their parents, and so on back to the beginning of human time. Thats a pretty good trip. Perhaps three years ago or just last Tuesday a certain leaf fluttered from one shoulder to another? This video makes a moving point, but it attributes our existence to luck. dr ali binazir odds of being born - simssuccessgroup.com One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? Get ready to have your socks blown off, ya beautiful miracle, you. So whats the probability of your existing? Step 3. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. Think of yourself as dead. To illustrate how precious each human being is, self-help author Mel Robbins said during a 2011 Ted Talk that the likelihood of you being born as you has been calculated at about one in 400 trillion. As you aptly point out, many persons losts lots of money at the roulette because they quests mathematically accurate. The learned professor was actually pulling everyones legs, but Littlewoods Law has been conscripted as proof of a number of strange theories. (This is also known as "consulting" -- especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). Something was dropped and then picked up. chances of being born Archives - Happiness Engineering with Dr Ali Binazir You may quibble with some of the Binazirs assumptions above. As an Amazon Associate I earn from qualifying purchases. First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. You exist, that is the only probable outcome, so the probability of you being you is 1. It makes me want to love better, to hug my baby more, to appreciate the miracles in my life, my family, my friends, my teachers, The animals, plants, precious food, the bugs and butterflies. dr ali binazir odds of being born 2022-06-25T04:47:45+00:00 And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing. So the probability of your parents chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. Blog Home Uncategorized dr ali binazir odds of being born. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 3.409108 square kilometers, or 340,900,000 km2 (131.6 million square miles, for those benighted souls who still cling to user-hostile British measures). Thus, the probability of your existing at all is about 1 in 102,685,000. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. Heres Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of a human being born: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Dr. Binazir calculated that the odds against each of us being born produced a number that makes the brain hurt. Because the fact that your baby to be is a miracle is not just a religious ideaits science. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? The conclusion: The odds that you exist at all are basically zero., He illustrates it this way: It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. It turns out that when taking into account the astonishing number of possibilities of parents meeting, grandparents meeting before them, and so on going back generations, and then adding the vast number of sperm and ova in possible combinations over decades of the marital act in all those generations, the odds of me existing just as I do are about 1 in 10. Is that an African fly or a European one? The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water into the middle of that life preserver. it is impossible)., The astronomer Sir Fred Hoyle illustrated this with his Junkyard Tornado Theory: The chance that higher life forms might have emerged in this way is comparable to the chance that a tornado sweeping through a junkyard might assemble a Boeing 747 from the materials therein.. So what's the probability of your being born? Lets say a life preservers hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside, which we will conveniently round to 0.5 square meters. Youre not just one in a million, youre one in a 102,685,000. So far, so good. Borels Law has since been enlisted by creationists and evolutionists alike to bolster their arguments. Just starting from your parents, the chance of them meeting and creating you is astronomically slim. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. The number of atoms making up the earth is about 1050. mitchell henry obituary; housing authority rome, ga; tom brady personality traits; can you drive from glacier national park to banff; why did they replace bertha in fred
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